What Awaits Russia in the Nearest Half-Year? (Political Scenarios)

What Awaits Russia in the Nearest Half-Year? (Political Scenarios)

DOI: 10.17976/jpps/2004.01.04

For citation:

Malinovsky P.V. What Awaits Russia in the Nearest Half-Year? (Political Scenarios) . – Polis. Political Studies. 2004. No. 1. P. 66-73. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.17976/jpps/2004.01.04


To answer the question entered in the title of his article, the author tries to reason out the dynamics of global changes that may be considered possible in the nearest future, and, furthermore, attempts to clear up and point out those factors of Russia’s internal political life, that may influence the course of the presidential election campaign. Proceeding from the analysis performed, he supposes a number of varying scenarios of forthcoming developments in Russia, dividing these scenarios into conservative, radical, and extreme ones. But, P.V. Malinovsky concludes, whichever of the presented scenarios turns out realized, they all point to a very high level of Russia’s dependence on global processes and to impossibility of “screening” the country from world-scale and regional crises.

Content No. 1, 2004

See also:

Shestopal Ye.B.,
Quarter of a century of russian political reforms from a psychological point of view. – Polis. Political Studies. 2015. No1

Round Table Of The Political Science Faculty, Moscow State University,
Russian society and power on the eve of the elections. – Polis. Political Studies. 2012. No1

Shakhalilov Sh.Sh.,
Russia: changing the usual way of acquiring the status of a great power. – Polis. Political Studies. 2022. No5

Kolosov V.A., Turovsky R.F.,
Electoral Map of Contemporary Russia: Genesis, Structure, and Evolution. – Polis. Political Studies. 1996. No4

Bashkirova Ye.I.,
Transformation of the Values of Russian Society. – Polis. Political Studies. 2000. No6



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