Global Interlude: from Unipolar Dysfunction to a New World Order

Global Interlude:
from Unipolar Dysfunction to a New World Order


Lapkin V.V.,

Leading Researcher, Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences, vvlh@politstudies.ru


elibrary_id: 43429 | ORCID: 0000-0002-0775-2630 | RESEARCHER_ID: AAB-9386-2021


DOI: 10.17976/jpps/2019.06.10
Rubric: DIXI!

For citation:

Lapkin V.V. Global Interlude: from Unipolar Dysfunction to a New World Order. – Polis. Political Studies. 2019. No. 6. P. 128-144. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.17976/jpps/2019.06.10



Abstract

The article examines the theoretical and methodological foundations of forecasting the transformation of the modern political world order, and analyzes alternative scenarios of overcoming the modern crisis of global controllability. Particular attention is paid to identifying latent opportunities for evolutionary self-transformation of the modern world and the conditions for their actualization and activation. Among the priorities of the author’s analysis are the nature of the modern state and the evolutionary changes that its basic national-territorial model has undergone over the past century, and at the same time, the features of new systemic practices of modern state building that go beyond the previously universally recognized regulatory institutional framework. The essence of the modern crisis, according to the author, is reduced to overcoming the unipolar dysfunction that arose as a result of the collapse of the bipolar system and, paradoxically, became the crown of development of a pluralistic international system of democratic nation-states. A striking manifestation of this dysfunction is, on the one hand, the growing discrepancy between the capabilities of the national-territorial model of statehood and the development needs of the communities of the modern world, and on the other, the insurmountable problem of translating global leadership: this problem diagnoses the fundamental inadequacy of the hierarchical principle of world order in relation to today’s global governance tasks. The ineffectiveness of previously practiced techniques and the lack of new effective development strategies, acceptable to all the main subjects of world politics, forms the situation of global interlude, expectations and delayed action for the foreseeable future.

Keywords
political changes, state, territorial state, nation, national market, world market, capitalism, global processes, world order, unipolarity, empire, space, territory.


References

Bahramian B. 2012. Transition to a New World Order: What We Leave Behind for the Next Generation. Bloomington, IN: AuthorHouse. 308 p.

Brooks S.G., Wohlforth W.C. 2008. World Out of Balance: International Relations and the Challenge of American Primacy. Princeton: Princeton University Press. 248 p.

Colgan J.D., Keohane R.O. 2017. The Liberal Order is Rigged: Fix It Now or Watch It Wither. – Foreign Affairs. Vol. 96. No. 3. P. 36-44. URL: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/world/2017-04-17/liberal-order-rigged (accessed 07.08.2018).

Colomer J.M. 2007. Great Empires, Small Nations: The Uncertain Future of the Sovereign State. London; New York: Routledge. 114 p.

Duncombe C., Dunne T. 2018. After Liberal World Order. – International Affairs. Vol. 94. No. 1. P. 25-42. https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iix234

Ikenberry G.J. 2011. Liberal Leviathan: The Origins, Crisis, and Transformation of the American World Order. Princeton: Princeton University Press. 392 p.

Ikenberry G.J. 2018. Reflections on After Victory. – The British Journal of Politics and International Relations. Vol. 21. No. 1. 5-19. https://doi.org/10.1177/1369148118791402

Ikenberry G.J., Parmar I., Stokes D. 2018. Introduction: Ordering the World? Liberal Internationalism in Theory and Practice. – International Affairs. Vol. 94. No. 1. P. 1-5. https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iix277

Jervis R. 2009. Unipolarity: A Structural Perspective. – World Politics. Vol. 61. No. 1. P. 188-213. https:// doi.org/10.1017/S0043887109000070

Kai He. 2012. Undermining Adversaries: Unipolarity, Threat Perception, and Negative Balancing Strategies after the Cold War. – Security Studies. Vol. 21. No. 2. P. 154-191. https://doi.org/10.1080/09636412.2012.679201

Keohane R.O. 1984. After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Economy. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press. 290 p.

Kolstø P. 2006. The Sustainability and Future of Unrecognized Quasi-States. Journal of Peace Research Vol. 43. No. 6. P. 723-740. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343306068102

Lagarde Ch. 2019. Is the World Prepared for the Next Financial Crisis? New Regulations and Reforms Have Helped, but Major Threats Still Loom. – Foreing Policy. Winter 2019. URL: https://foreignpolicy.com/gt-essay/ is-the-world-prepared-for-the-next-financial-crisis-christine-lagarde-economy-recession/ (accessed 19.09.2019).

Layne Ch. 2012. This Time It’s Real: The End of Unipolarity and the Pax Americana. – International Studies Quarterly. Vol. 56. No. 1. P. 203-213. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2478.2011.00704.x

Machiavelli N. 1961. Il Principe. Torino: Einaudi. 99 p.

Multipolarity in the 21st Century: A New World Order. 2012. Ed. by D. Murray, D. Brown. New York. Routledge. 224 p.

Reich S., Lebow R.N. 2014. Good-Bye Hegemony! Power and Influence in the Global System. Princeton: Princeton University Press. 208 p.

Schweller R.L., Pu X. 2011. After Unipolarity, China’s Vision of International Order in an Era of US Decline. – International Security. Vol. 36. No. 1. P. 41-72. https://doi.org/10.1162/ISEC_a_00044

Spruyt H. 1996. The Sovereign State and Its Competitors: An Analysis of Systems Change. – Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press. 302 p.

Spruyt H. 2005. Ending Empire: Contested Sovereignty and Territorial Partition. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press. 326 p.

Spruyt H. 2013. Empires, Past and Present: The Relevance of Empire as an Analytic Concept. – Empire and International Order. Ed. by N. Parker. London: Ashgate Publishing, Ltd. P. 19-40.

Stokes D. 2018. Trump, American Hegemony and the Future of the Liberal International Order. – International Affairs. Vol. 94. No. 1. P. 133-150. https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iix238

Tizzard D.A. 2017. American Unipolarity: The Uneven Distribution of Power. – Global Politics Review. Vol. 3. No. 2. P. 10-25. URL: http://www.globalpoliticsreview.com/publications/2464-9929_v03_i02_p010. pdf (accessed 10.08.2018).

Zakaria F. 2008. The Post-American World. New York, London: W.W. Norton & Company. 304 p.

Akhremenko A.S., Gorelskiy I.E., Melville A.Yu. 2019. How and Why Should We Measure and Compare State Capacity of Different Countries? Theoretical and Methodological Foundations. – Polis. Political Studies. No. 2. P. 8-23. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.17976/jpps/2019.02.02

Afontsev S.A. 2019. New Trends in Global Economy. – World Economy and International Relations. Vol. 63. No. 5. P. 36-46. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.20542/0131-2227-2019-63-5-36-46

Arbatova N.K. 2017. Future of European Integration in the Context of Internal and External Crises. – World Economy and International Relations. Vol. 61. No. 10. P. 57-65. https://doi. org/10.20542/0131-2227-2017-61-10-57-65

Baranovsky V.G. 2017. Transformation of Global World Order: Dynamics of Systemic Changes. – Polis. Political Studies. No. 3. P. 71-91. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.17976/jpps/2017.03.05

Baranovsky V.G. 2019. New International Order: Overcoming or Transforming the Existing Pattern? – World Economy and International Relations. Vol. 63. No. 5. P. 7-23. (In Russ.) https://doi. org/10.20542/0131-2227-2019-63-5-7-23

 

Colomer J.M. 2008. Great Empires, Small Nations: The Uncertain Future of the Sovereign State. (Russ. ed.: Colomer J.M. Velikie imperii, malye natsii: neyasnoe budushchee suverennogo gosudarstva. Abstract. Political Science (RU). No. 4. P. 42-61).

Ferguson N.C. 2016. The Great Degeneration: How Institutions Decay and Economies Die. (Russ. ed.: Ferguson N. Velikoe vyrozhdenie. Kak razrushayutsya instituty i gibnut gosudarstva. Moscow: AST Publishers; Corpus. 192 p.)

Ilyin M.V. 2008. Is a Universal Typology of States Possible? – Political Science (RU). No. 4: P. 8-41. (In Russ.)

Kolosov V.A. 2018. Pogranichnye issledovaniya v Rossii i za rubezhom: teoreticheskie podkhody i dostizheniya [Frontier Studies in Russia and Abroad: Theoretical Approaches and Achievements]. – Rossiiskoe pogranich’e: vyzovy sosedstva. Pod red. V.A. Kolosova [The Russian Borderland: Neighborhood Challenges. Ed. by V.A. Kolosov]. Moscow: Publishing House IP Matushkina I.I. P. 17-38. (In Russ.)

Lapkin V.V. 2019. State and Evolution: the Catastrophes of the 20th century and Challenges of the 21th Century. – History and Modernity. No. 3. P. 63-92. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.30884/iis/2019.03.04

Pantin V.I., Lapkin V.V. 2014. Istoricheskoe prognozirovanie v XXI veke: Tsikly Kondrat’eva, evolyutsionnye tsikly i perspektivy mirovogo razvitiya [Historical Forecasting in the 21st century: Kondratieff’s Cycles, Evolutionary Cycles and Prospects for World Development]. Dubna: Phoenix-plus. 456 p. (In Russ.)

Sebentzov A.B., Kolosov V.A. 2012. Phenomenon of Uncontrolled Territories in Modern World. – Polis. Political Studies. No. 2. P. 31-46. (In Russ.) URL: https://www.politstudies.ru/article/4533 (accessed 17.10.2019).

Shakleina T. 2015. Leadership and Contemporary World Order. – International Trends. Journal of International Relations Theory and World Politics. Vol. 13. No. 4. P. 6-19. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.17994/ IT.2015.13.4.43.1

Straus A.L. 1997. Unipolarity (The Concentric Structure of the New World Order and the Position of Russia). – Polis. Political Studies. No. 2. P. 27-44. (In Russ.)

 

Zinkov E.G. 2012. Features of Action Legal Space. – Society and law. No. 3. P. 20-25. (In Russ.)

 

 

Content No. 6, 2019

See also:


Barsukova S.Yu.,
«Empire», or Farewell to Modernity. – Polis. Political Studies. 2007. No3

Ivanov V.M.,
The State and the Market (Some Aspects of the Theory of Liberalism). – Polis. Political Studies. 1993. No3

Nezhdanov D.V., Rusakova O.F.,
«Political market» as system-forming metaphor of modern political-science discourse. – Polis. Political Studies. 2011. No4

Vodopyanov K.G.,
Suffering Leviathan: What Will Save the Modern State (About the Book by N. Noonan and V. Nadkarni). – Polis. Political Studies. 2018. No3

Lapkin V.V.,
Nation vs Empire in the Modern World Order. – Polis. Political Studies. 2018. No4

 

   

Introducing an article



Polis. Political Studies
3 2003


Safonov M.V.
Modern Approaches to the Study of International Institutions (With Studies of the “Big Eight” as Instance)

 The article text (электронная версия)
 

Archive

   2024      2023      2022      2021   
   2020      2019      2018      2017      2016   
   2015      2014      2013      2012      2011   
   2010      2009      2008      2007      2006   
   2005      2004      2003      2002      2001   
   2000      1999      1998      1997      1996   
   1995      1994      1993      1992      1991